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Season X forecast

LFLGPT Prediction

Built on 35 completed Season X games, current lineup projections and roster construction — with results weighing more heavily each week.
Week 8

This Week's Predictions

LFLGPT pickDumpy Umbrella
Predicted final score
Spicey SauceLuke Spicer118.1
Dumpy UmbrellaBen Spicer124.2
Dumpy Umbrella by 6.158% to win
ESPN baseline
  • Spicey Sauce125.4
  • Dumpy Umbrella126.5

ESPN's raw lineup projection favours Dumpy Umbrella by 1.1.

Why LFLGPT moved it
  • Season scoringDumpy Umbrella is averaging 123.6 a week to Spicey Sauce's 114.1.
  • Track recordDumpy Umbrella has scored more per game across their LFL career than Spicey Sauce.
  • Projected lineupDumpy Umbrella projects at 126.5 against Spicey Sauce at 125.4 — a 1.1-point edge on ESPN's numbers.
Final call

LFLGPT takes Dumpy Umbrella over Spicey Sauce by 6.1 points, on season scoring and track record. It is not a clean bill of health — Dumpy Umbrella has 1 starter carrying a designation.

FavouredMatchup →
LFLGPT pickRun CMC
Predicted final score
Run CMCRyan Orzeck132.1
Bell-o Darkness My Old FriendEric Peters119.4
Run CMC by 12.766% to win
ESPN baseline
  • Run CMC130.4
  • Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend125.9

ESPN's raw lineup projection favours Run CMC by 4.5.

Why LFLGPT moved it
  • Season scoringRun CMC is averaging 131.5 a week to Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend's 115.5.
  • Projected lineupRun CMC projects at 130.4 against Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend at 125.9 — a 4.5-point edge on ESPN's numbers.
  • Track recordRun CMC has scored more per game across their LFL career than Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend.
Final call

LFLGPT takes Run CMC over Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend comfortably, by 12.7 points, on season scoring and projected lineup.

LFLGPT pickThe Thrashers
Predicted final score
The ThrashersGeorge Greeby126.6
Dumb BlondesNikolas Steacker117.2
The Thrashers by 9.462% to win
ESPN baseline
  • The Thrashers127.7
  • Dumb Blondes121.4

ESPN's raw lineup projection favours The Thrashers by 6.3.

Why LFLGPT moved it
  • Season scoringThe Thrashers is averaging 124 a week to Dumb Blondes's 113.6.
  • Projected lineupThe Thrashers projects at 127.7 against Dumb Blondes at 121.4 — a 6.3-point edge on ESPN's numbers.
  • Track recordThe Thrashers has scored more per game across their LFL career than Dumb Blondes.
Final call

LFLGPT takes The Thrashers over Dumb Blondes comfortably, by 9.4 points, on season scoring and projected lineup. Dumb Blondes carries 1 starter with an injury designation, which is part of the gap.

LFLGPT pickBeats by Ray
Predicted final score
Crab MeatEthan Spicer117.0
Beats by RaySeamus Flanigan123.3
Beats by Ray by 6.358% to win
ESPN baseline
  • Crab Meat118.9
  • Beats by Ray125.3

ESPN's raw lineup projection favours Beats by Ray by 6.4.

Why LFLGPT moved it
  • Season scoringBeats by Ray is averaging 127.3 a week to Crab Meat's 117.8.
  • Projected lineupBeats by Ray projects at 125.3 against Crab Meat at 118.9 — a 6.4-point edge on ESPN's numbers.
  • AvailabilityBeats by Ray carries 2 starters with an injury designation to Crab Meat's 1.
Final call

LFLGPT takes Beats by Ray over Crab Meat by 6.3 points, on season scoring and projected lineup. It is not a clean bill of health — Beats by Ray has 2 starters carrying a designation.

FavouredMatchup →
LFLGPT pickChief Keith
Predicted final score
Chief KeithKeith Paley Jr.137.3
The SkrtlesBrendan Dever121.5
Chief Keith by 15.870% to win
ESPN baseline
  • Chief Keith141.2
  • The Skrtles123.2

ESPN's raw lineup projection favours Chief Keith by 18.0.

Why LFLGPT moved it
  • Projected lineupChief Keith projects at 141.2 against The Skrtles at 123.2 — a 18-point edge on ESPN's numbers.
  • Season scoringChief Keith is averaging 132.6 a week to The Skrtles's 121.8.
  • Draft valueChief Keith got more out of the Season X draft than the slots they picked from were going for, ahead of The Skrtles.
Final call

LFLGPT takes Chief Keith over The Skrtles comfortably, by 15.8 points, on projected lineup and season scoring.

Season X

Season X Outlook

TeamProj. recordPer weekPlayoffsLarge Bowl
Chief KeithContender9.1–4.9137.398%29%
Run CMCContender9.1–4.9132.198%26%
Beats by Ray7.7–6.3123.386%14%
Dumpy Umbrella7.6–6.4124.282%11%
Crab Meat7.2–6.8117.066%5%
The Skrtles6.4–7.6121.554%5%
Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend6.0–8.0119.434%3%
Spicey Sauce6.1–7.9118.134%2%
The Thrashers5.6–8.4126.634%4%
Dumb Blondes5.1–8.9117.214%1%
Signals

What LFLGPT Is Watching

Biggest mismatch
Chief Keith

Forecast to beat The Skrtles by 15.8 — the week's widest gap.

Closest call
Spicey Sauce at Dumpy Umbrella

Separated by 6.1 points — inside the noise.

Strongest roster
Chief Keith

Highest weekly forecast in the league at 137.3 points.

Injury risk
Beats by Ray

2 starters carrying an injury designation this week.

Best value drafted
Dumb Blondes

Beat the going rate at their own draft slots by more than anyone else.

Updated a minute ago

LFLGPT Prediction · LFL