Ten seasons, one model
League Analytics
Expected wins compare each weekly score with every opponent. The power rating updates after every official game; consolation and byes never count.
Season I to Season X
Rating History
● Ben Spicer● Brendan Dever● Eric Peters● Ethan Spicer● George Greeby● Keith Paley Jr.● Luke Spicer● Nikolas Steacker● Ryan Orzeck● Seamus Flanigan
All-play expectation
Expected Wins
1Seamus FlaniganMedian 64–58 · actual 67 wins64.92Ryan OrzeckMedian 67–42 · actual 69 wins63.33Nikolas SteackerMedian 63–59 · actual 63 wins63.04Luke SpicerMedian 65–57 · actual 66 wins61.95Keith Paley Jr.Median 60–62 · actual 63 wins60.96John McCoyMedian 58–64 · actual 58 wins57.67Ethan SpicerMedian 53–56 · actual 52 wins53.58Eric PetersMedian 51–58 · actual 49 wins51.19Brendan DeverMedian 44–51 · actual 48 wins47.510George GreebyMedian 29–26 · actual 27 wins30.211Gabe GioveneMedian 28–41 · actual 27 wins29.212Luke PryorMedian 16–10 · actual 11 wins13.913Will JuddMedian 9–4 · actual 8 wins7.914Mike CampelloneMedian 7–6 · actual 7 wins7.115Pat FischettiMedian 5–9 · actual 7 wins5.616Connor FennellMedian 5–8 · actual 4 wins5.217Nick PaleyMedian 4–9 · actual 3 wins4.418Dan JurgelewiczMedian 3–10 · actual 1 wins3.2
Continuous rating
LFL Power Rating
1Ryan OrzeckElo-style · starts at 150015812Luke SpicerElo-style · starts at 150015733Ethan SpicerElo-style · starts at 150015704George GreebyElo-style · starts at 150015495Keith Paley Jr.Elo-style · starts at 150015426Seamus FlaniganElo-style · starts at 150015387Will JuddElo-style · starts at 150015348Mike CampelloneElo-style · starts at 150015179Ben SpicerElo-style · starts at 1500150010Pat FischettiElo-style · starts at 1500149811Eric PetersElo-style · starts at 1500149112Luke PryorElo-style · starts at 1500148313Brendan DeverElo-style · starts at 1500148214Nikolas SteackerElo-style · starts at 1500148115John McCoyElo-style · starts at 1500145616Connor FennellElo-style · starts at 1500145017Gabe GioveneElo-style · starts at 1500144218Nick PaleyElo-style · starts at 1500144119Dan JurgelewiczElo-style · starts at 15001388