Ten seasons, one model
League Analytics
Expected wins compare each weekly score with every opponent. The power rating updates after every official game; consolation and byes never count.
Season I to Season X
Rating History
● Ben Spicer● Brendan Dever● Eric Peters● Ethan Spicer● George Greeby● Keith Paley Jr.● Luke Spicer● Nikolas Steacker● Ryan Orzeck● Seamus Flanigan
All-play expectation
Expected Wins
1Seamus FlaniganMedian 68–61 · actual 71 wins69.02Ryan OrzeckMedian 73–43 · actual 74 wins68.33Keith Paley Jr.Median 65–64 · actual 68 wins65.44Nikolas SteackerMedian 64–65 · actual 65 wins65.25Luke SpicerMedian 68–61 · actual 69 wins64.96John McCoyMedian 58–64 · actual 58 wins57.67Ethan SpicerMedian 56–60 · actual 56 wins56.68Eric PetersMedian 53–63 · actual 52 wins53.39Brendan DeverMedian 47–55 · actual 51 wins51.410George GreebyMedian 33–29 · actual 29 wins33.511Gabe GioveneMedian 28–41 · actual 27 wins29.212Luke PryorMedian 16–10 · actual 11 wins13.913Will JuddMedian 9–4 · actual 8 wins7.914Mike CampelloneMedian 7–6 · actual 7 wins7.115Pat FischettiMedian 5–9 · actual 7 wins5.616Connor FennellMedian 5–8 · actual 4 wins5.217Nick PaleyMedian 4–9 · actual 3 wins4.418Ben SpicerMedian 4–3 · actual 4 wins3.819Dan JurgelewiczMedian 3–10 · actual 1 wins3.2
Continuous rating
LFL Power Rating
1Ryan OrzeckElo-style · starts at 150016032Keith Paley Jr.Elo-style · starts at 150015753Ethan SpicerElo-style · starts at 150015704Luke SpicerElo-style · starts at 150015535Seamus FlaniganElo-style · starts at 150015446Will JuddElo-style · starts at 150015347George GreebyElo-style · starts at 150015208Mike CampelloneElo-style · starts at 150015179Ben SpicerElo-style · starts at 1500151510Pat FischettiElo-style · starts at 1500149811Eric PetersElo-style · starts at 1500148612Luke PryorElo-style · starts at 1500148313Brendan DeverElo-style · starts at 1500148114Nikolas SteackerElo-style · starts at 1500146115John McCoyElo-style · starts at 1500145616Connor FennellElo-style · starts at 1500145017Gabe GioveneElo-style · starts at 1500144218Nick PaleyElo-style · starts at 1500144119Dan JurgelewiczElo-style · starts at 15001388