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The Thrashers at Chief Keith — Season X, Week 5

Season X · 2026Week 5
The Thrashers
George Greeby
109.44
FINAL
by 51.60
Chief Keith
Keith Paley Jr.
161.04
Live matchup model

LFL Win Probability

The Thrashers109.4 points
0%
Chief Keith161.0 points
100%
FinalUpdated Sun 11:45 PM ETModel lfl-live-v1
Projection update

The Thrashers 109.4 — Chief Keith 161.0

0%Chief Keith swing
The Thrashers 0%Chief Keith 100%

LFL’s estimate uses the current fantasy score, remaining starters, live projections, player game state, and historical scoring variation by position.

Combined
270.5
Margin
51.60
Round
Week 5
Record
Official
Career records
The Thrashers 109.4 — Chief Keith 161.0Season X · Week 5FINAL

Lead Tracker

0 lead changes
Chief Keith aheadThe Thrashers ahead

Largest leads: Chief Keith +84.7 · The Thrashers +0.0. Drawn from 132 recorded score snapshots, taken when the totals changed — not every play.

Box Score

Lineups

The ThrashersGeorge Greeby109.4
Chief KeithKeith Paley Jr.161.0
The ThrashersSlotChief Keith
Dak PrescottQB
12.6
QB
Jared GoffQB
28.9
Christian McCaffreyRB
17.3
RB
Chase BrownRB
7.0
Ashton JeantyRB
10.7
RB
Javonte WilliamsRB
14.2
Drake LondonWR
18.8
WR
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR
22.8
Luther Burden IIIWR
8.9
WR
George PickensWR
28.0
Tucker KraftTE
11.6
TE
Tyler WarrenTE
21.4
Rhamondre StevensonRB
17.5
FLEX
Aaron JonesRB
18.7
Cowboys D/STD/ST
-2.0
D/ST
Broncos D/STD/ST
14.0
Tyler LoopK
14.0
K
Cameron DickerK
6.0
109.4Starters161.0
Bench
J.K. DobbinsRB
15.4
BE
Jaylen WarrenRB
36.8
Seahawks D/STD/ST
11.0
BE
Jayden DanielsQB
32.3
TreVeyon HendersonRB
4.8
BE
Mike EvansWR
26.3
Tee HigginsWR
4.2
BE
Rome OdunzeWR
5.0
Colston LovelandTE
3.9
BE
Mark AndrewsTE
4.8
Jordan AddisonWR
0.0
BE
Steelers D/STD/ST
1.0
39.3On the bench106.2
Context

Matchup Context

Full comparison →
All-Time
5–2
Keith Paley Jr. vs George Greeby
Previous meetings
6
Playoff meetings
0
No Large Bowl meeting
Largest previous margin
58.7
Season V
Avg Score
130.3
vs 114.9
Streak
W3
for Keith Paley Jr.
IXThe Thrashers at Chief Keith2025 · Week 8189.4–138.1VIChief Keith at The Thrashed2022 · Week 9141.5–87.9VChief Keith at The Thrashers2021 · Week 1094.7–153.4VThe Thrashers at Chief Keith2021 · Week 1114.7–90.9IIIChief Keith at The Thrashers2019 · Week 10104.8–96.9
All Week 5 scoresSeason X hub2026 standings
The Thrashers 109.4 at Chief Keith 161.0 — Season X Week 5 · LFL