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Week 8In ProgressSPIC152.5DU121.8Week 8In ProgressCMC136.9PETE157.7Week 8In ProgressTHRS125.7DUMB148.6Week 8In ProgressCRAB64.3RAY100.4Week 8In ProgressSOSA99.7SKRT76.3

Chief Keith at Dumpy Umbrella — Season X, Week 4

Season X · 2026Week 4
Chief Keith
Keith Paley Jr.
135.88
FINAL
by 16.72
Dumpy Umbrella
Ben Spicer
119.16
Live matchup model

LFL Win Probability

Chief Keith135.9 points
100%
Dumpy Umbrella119.2 points
0%
FinalUpdated Mon 11:33 PM ETModel lfl-live-v1
Projection update

Chief Keith 135.9 — Dumpy Umbrella 119.2

-5%Dumpy Umbrella swing
Chief Keith 100%Dumpy Umbrella 0%

LFL’s estimate uses the current fantasy score, remaining starters, live projections, player game state, and historical scoring variation by position.

Combined
255.0
Margin
16.72
Round
Week 4
Record
Official
Career records
Chief Keith 135.9 — Dumpy Umbrella 119.2Season X · Week 4FINAL

Lead Tracker

2 lead changes
Dumpy Umbrella aheadChief Keith ahead

Largest leads: Dumpy Umbrella +20.2 · Chief Keith +66.0. Drawn from 153 recorded score snapshots, taken when the totals changed — not every play.

Box Score

Lineups

Chief KeithKeith Paley Jr.135.9
Dumpy UmbrellaBen Spicer119.2
Chief KeithSlotDumpy Umbrella
Jared GoffQB
20.5
QB
Bryce YoungQB
21.5
Chase BrownRB
19.1
RB
Bijan RobinsonRB
27.7
Javonte WilliamsRB
31.3
RB
Quinshon JudkinsRB
21.6
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR
12.6
WR
Chris OlaveWR
19.6
George PickensWR
9.5
WR
Christian WatsonWR
7.7
Tyler WarrenTE
9.1
TE
Kenyon SadiqTE
0.0
Aaron JonesRB
16.8
FLEX
Bucky IrvingRB
6.1
Steelers D/STD/ST
5.0
D/ST
Bills D/STD/ST
1.0
Cameron DickerK
12.0
K
Cam LittleK
14.0
135.9Starters119.2
Bench
Jaylen WarrenRB
15.6
BE
Carnell TateWR
21.5
Rome OdunzeWR
15.4
BE
Jaylen WaddleWR
14.5
Mark AndrewsTE
13.7
BE
Bo NixQB
13.6
Mike EvansWR
12.6
BE
Malik WashingtonWR
12.0
49ers D/STD/ST
5.0
BE
Bhayshul TutenRB
11.1
Jayden DanielsQB
0.0
BE
AJ BarnerTE
2.2
62.3On the bench74.9
Context

Matchup Context

Full comparison →
All-Time
0–1
Ben Spicer vs Keith Paley Jr.
Previous meetings
0
Playoff meetings
0
No Large Bowl meeting
Largest previous margin
—
First meeting
Avg Score
119.2
vs 135.9
Streak
L1
for Ben Spicer

This is the first meeting between these coaches.

All Week 4 scoresSeason X hub2026 standings
Chief Keith 135.9 at Dumpy Umbrella 119.2 — Season X Week 4 · LFL